Jason Lyall

Under Review

“Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects for Spatio-Temporal Causal Inference: How Economic Assistance Moderates the Effects of Airstrikes on Insurgent Violence.” With Lingxiao Zhou, Kosuke Imai, and Georgia Papadogeorgou. R&R, JASA

“Reassessing the Democratic Advantage in War.” With Alexander Downes.

“Spatiotemporal Causal Inference with Spillover and Carryover Effects: Airstrikes and Insurgent Violence in Vietnam and Afghanistan.” With Kosuke Imai, Mitsuru Mukaigawara, and Georgia Papadogeorgou.

“Dynamic Policy Evaluation and Learning with Spatio-temporal Data.” With Lingxiao Zhou, Kosuke Imai, and Georgia Papadogeorgou.

“Airstrikes, Resolve, and Insurgent Violence During the Iraq War.” With Mitsuru Mukaigawara, Kosuke Imai, and Georgia Papadogeorgou.

Work in Progress

Book Manuscripts

1. Good War Gone Bad: Lessons from the American War in Afghanistan (under contract, Princeton University Press).

Articles 

I. Inequality and War

“Inequality, Regime Type, and the Wartime Fate of Political Leaders.”

“When Armies Break: Inequality and Mass Desertion in Modern War.”

“Inequality, Social Structures, and the Battlefield Effects of Modern Technology.”

“Inequality and Victory in Modern War.”

“Inequality and Political Violence: A Review of the Evidence.”

II. Aid and Violence in Conflict Settings

“Group Rights in an Era of Large-Scale Field Experiments.” pdf.