Peer Reviewed Articles

“Can Civilian Attitudes Predict Insurgent Violence? Ideology and Insurgent Tactical Choice in Civil War.” Journal of Peace Research, 54:1 (January 2017), 47–63. With Kentaro Hirose and Kosuke Imai. pdf. appendix

“Coethnic Bias and Wartime Informing.” Journal of Politics, 77:3 (July 2015), 833-48. With Yuki Shiraito and Kosuke Imai. pdf.

“From Cell Phones to Conflict? Reflections on the Emerging ICT-Political Conflict Research Agenda.” Journal of Peace Research 52:3 (May 2015), 401-413. With Allan Dafoe. pdf.

“Comparing and Combining List and Endorsement Experiments: Evidence from Afghanistan.” American Journal of Political Science, 58:4 (October 2014), 1043-1063. With Graeme Blair and Kosuke Imai. pdf 

“Explaining Support for Combatants in Wartime: A Survey Experiment in Afghanistan.” American Political Science Review, 107:4 (November 2013). With Graeme Blair and Kosuke Imai. pdfWinner of the 2013 Pi Sigma Alpha Award for Best Paper Presented at the 2012 Midwest Political Science Association. 

“Are Co-Ethnics More Effective Counter-Insurgents? Evidence from the Second Chechen War.” American Political Science Review, 104:1 (February 2010), 1-20. pdf. data. Winner of the 2009 Kellogg/Notre Dame Award for Best Paper in Comparative Politics Presented at the 2008 Midwest Political Science Association. 

“Do Democracies Make Inferior Counterinsurgents? Reassessing Democracy’s Impact on War Outcomes and Duration.” International Organization, 64:1  (Winter 2010), 167-92. pdfdata.

“Does Indiscriminate Violence Incite Insurgent Attacks? Evidence from Chechnya.” Journal of Conflict Resolution, 53:3 (June 2009), 331-362. pdfdata.

“Rage Against the Machines: Explaining Outcomes in Counterinsurgency Wars.” International Organization, 63:1 (Winter 2009), 67-106. pdf. data. With Lt. Colonel Isaiah Wilson, III.

“Pocket Protests: Rhetorical Coercion and the Micropolitics of Collective Action in Semiauthoritarian Regimes.” World Politics 58:3 (2006), 378-412. pdf.

Invited Contributions

“Process Tracing, Causal Inference, and Civil War.” In Process Tracing in the Social Sciences: From Metaphor to Analytic Tool, eds. Andrew Bennett and Jeffrey Checkel (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, Strategies for Social Inquiry Series, 2015), pp.186-207. pdf.

“Afghanistan’s Lost Decade.” Foreign Affairs 15 December 2011. url.


“Paths of Ruin: Why Revisionist States Arise and Die in World Politics.” pdf.

  • APSA Helen Dwight Reid Prize for Best Dissertation in International Relations, Law, and Politics (2007)
  • Esman Prize for Best Dissertation, Government Department, Cornell (2006).